(Au)our Insights

06
Feb

An Update from Auour

The last week has been a very quick reversal of a nearly 14-month upswing in the global markets. Yesterday, in particular, was a wake-up call that markets are not always tame and conducive to making money. We offer below some answers to questions we have...
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15
Jan

Auour 2018 Outlook

A year ago, we wrote that all we wanted for Christmas was a bull market.  Thank you, Santa!  We thought we had been good but never thought we were that good. The 4th quarter continued the trend that existed all year with markets ending on...
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22
Dec

Mind the Gap

This is a phrase we heard a lot on our last visit to London. Though repeated as the subway doors open, it brings other ideas to us. Specifically, the gap between the expectations of some investors and what turns out to be the reality. All...
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21
Nov

The Largest Game of Jenga Ever

We like games, but not all games. Some make us tense such as the Hasbro game named Operation. As a child growing up in a warm and nurturing environment, hearing the BUZZ as you touched the side not only scared you, but risked driving you...
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24
Oct

Waiting for the Next Domino to Fall

The Quarter in Review The quote used in our 1st quarter report was “It is best to rise from life as from a banquet, neither thirsty nor drunken.”  We have been investing in accordance with that quote and maintaining a near fully invested stance yet...
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19
Sep

Waiting for a Market Correction Can Be Difficult

We are strong believers in Peter Lynch’s quote, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections than has been lost in corrections themselves.” Because fearmongering market pundits profess that a correction is always near, we, therefore, continue...
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23
May

Weiwai(ting) for the Bubble to Pop

We are ones to look both ways even when crossing a one-way street.  It is ingrained in us to watch for the unexpected. We’re believers in the saying, “It’s the punch you do not see that knocks you out.” Although we stand in a near...
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17
Mar

Confirming Valuation Risk

“Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one’s preexisting beliefs or hypotheses while giving disproportionately less consideration to alternative possibilities.” – Wikipedia The S&P 500 index, a proxy for the US equity market, has...
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18
Feb

Exploiting Ignored Opportunity

One who deceives will always find those who allow themselves to be deceived.   – Niccolo Machiavelli With the heightened focus on world politics, it comes as no surprise that The Prince by Niccolo Machiavelli is seeing a material increase in book sales.  We have spent...
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16
Dec

All I want for Christmas is a Bull Market

We founded Auour Investments in early 2013 and spent the spring and summer building the Auour Regime Model and constructing the investment processes underlying our strategies.  In the fall of 2013, we launched the first of the Instinct family of dynamic core strategies: Global Fixed...
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